religious) values. That is denominationalism and it is a long way down the road to the point where religion is hardly a factor at all, where religiosity appears only through political attitudes that reflect general class and status interests. The situation becomes one in which the second words in the phrases "conservative Protestant," "conservative Catholic," and "conservative Jew'' become redundant.
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Modernity does not challenge religion. Instead it subtly undermines it and corrodes it. Fundamentalists tacitly recognize this when they refuse to be impressed or comforted by the state's willingness to permitto tolerate Mormons, Witnesses, Christian Scientists, Rastafarians, Scientologists, Moonies, and any number of more exotic religions. Although few fundamentalists say it openly, some of them recognize that it is better to be persecuted than to be tolerated as (in the language of American forms) a "religion of your preference."
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Twenty or so years ago many of the sociologists who endorsed the above picture of modernity supposed that secularizationthe decline of religionwas an irreversible characteristic of modern societies. Recently the sociological orthodoxy seems to have been running in the opposite direction. Although I remain committed to a version of the secularization thesis, I do not expect religion to disappear completely or quickly. And insofar as it is the broad liberal denominations that are losing support fastest, one would expect traditional supernaturalist Protestantism to become relatively more popular and influential. There is thus nothing surprising about the appearance of the new Christian right. So long as there are sizable numbers of conservative Protestants in America, there will be movement organizations that campaign and lobby on their behalf. There will continue to be skirmishes and boundary disputes. Precisely because the conflict is not between two groups of believers, but between the adherents to a coherent belief-system and modernity, it will always be difficult to judge accurately the outcome of any battle. It will depend more on counting the dead on both sides than on watching to see who marches victorious from the field. What this study has done is to consider calmly what is known about the support-base, the actions, and the impact to date of the NCR in order to evaluate the likelihood of it succeeding in its ambitions. The conclusion is that the NCR will failin its present form already has
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