Authors: Avi Shlaim
Hussein did not feel he could go alone against the current, and in the end he actually voted for the Rabat resolutions. But formal adoption of the resolutions was not the same as genuine acceptance. The claim to represent the Palestinians was a vital part of Hussein's Hashemite heritage. At Rabat this role was taken away from him and given to the PLO, his deadly rival. The message that the Rabat summit sent to Hussein was that he no longer had any say in the affairs of the occupied territories and that he could no longer speak on behalf of the Palestinians in international fora. To an ambitious monarch this was a depressing message. He saw it as âa betrayal of the Hashemite custody of the Palestinian cause'.
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As Foreign Minister Dr Kamel Abu Jaber confessed, âHussein did not like it and never accepted the Rabat summit resolution. He thought of the PLO as a tool to reach a political settlement, not as a substitute to Jordan. This was obvious from his movements between 1974 and 1988. We continued to try to get around the Rabat formula and to persuade the Palestinians, the Arab world and the international community that Jordan is the place to talk about the Palestinians â that it is the door to be knocked on. Eventually, Hussein reluctantly accepted the necessity to disengage.'
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Rabat was thus a watershed in Hussein's troubled relationship with the Palestinians: he could no longer claim that they were under
his crown. But Rabat represented an opportunity as well as a setback. It opened the door to a âJordan-first' policy, to concentrating on the political and economic development of the East Bank. Some of his advisers from the East Bank elite, led by Mreiwad Tall, urged him to adopt such a policy, to cut his losses on the West Bank and to leave the representation of the Palestinians to the PLO in accordance with the Arab consensus. Crown Prince Hassan sided with this group of advisers, arguing that Jordan should cut its ties with the West Bank and that for all practical purposes the âunity of the two banks' idea should be revoked.
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At this stage, however, Hussein was not ready for an official break with the West Bank. Following the Rabat summit, parliament was dissolved and a new government, headed once again by Rifa'i, was appointed by royal decree. West Bank representation in the Senate and the Chamber of Deputies was reduced, and national elections were postponed until March 1975. The citizenship rights of Palestinians on the East Bank were curtailed, giving rise to tensions. Eventually the king defused the crisis by assuring the Palestinians that they would have the right to choose their citizenship at the appropriate time.
Hussein eventually heeded the advice he was given after Rabat â but only in July 1988, when he severed Jordan's legal and administrative links with the West Bank. He could have opted for constitutional separation in 1974. One reason for not doing so has already been noted â his sense of moral obligation as a Hashemite towards the people of the West Bank. But there was a second and related reason, namely, his dynastic interests and, more specifically, his belief that the Hashemites were destined to play a major role in the affairs of the Middle East. He was obsessed with projecting Jordan as a key player in regional and international politics. This sense of mission impelled him to continue to invest most of his time and energy not on internal development and consolidation but on diplomatic efforts to recover the West Bank of the kingdom that his grandfather had bequeathed to him.
The Rabat decision weakened further Hussein's already very weak hand in dealing with the Israelis. After Rabat the secret meetings resumed because both sides saw some value in staying in contact, but the regional context had changed and the sense of urgency had gone. Nevertheless, Hussein always liked to avoid complete isolation. In addition, contact with the Israelis enabled him to bypass the Rabat resolutions and to
maintain his links with his supporters on the West Bank. In Israel the morale of military intelligence was at its nadir because of the débâcle of the October War. Mossad, on the other hand, emerged largely unscathed. Rabin rewarded Mossad by assigning to it responsibility for coordinating his clandestine contacts with Hussein â the most sensitive aspect in Israel's foreign relations. One of the results was a top-secret intelligence exchange between the Mossad and the Mukhabarat.
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The Mossad had passed messages to Hussein in the past and alerted him to plots against his life, but the relationship was now institutionalized for the first time.
Hussein's next meeting with the Israelis did not take place until 28 May 1975. Hussein spoke more in sorrow than in anger about their attitude on the eve of the Rabat summit. He believed that, had they reached a disengagement agreement with him, the Rabat defeat could have been avoided. The Israelis tried to shift the conversation from the past to the future by raising the possibility of territorial compromise. âWe are out of the picture,' Hussein replied angrily. âPlease talk to the PLO and then we'll see.' By this time Israel had started negotiating a second disengagement agreement with Egypt. Hussein feared that such an agreement would further weaken Jordan's position in the Middle East, but there was little he could do except to cast doubt on Sadat's reliability. Like the previous two meetings, this one ended without any agreement being reached. Yet during the meeting Hussein indicated that there was some point in continuing the dialogue.
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Jordan had been relegated to the margins of the diplomacy surrounding the Arab-Israeli conflict. Kissinger resumed his shuttle between Cairo and Tel Aviv, and, on 1 September 1975, the two countries signed an interim agreement, popularly known as Sinai II. It was a free-standing agreement that did not include any commitment by Israel to enter into negotiations over the Golan Heights or the West Bank. Sinai II was well received in Israel but not in Jordan. Adnan Abu-Odeh explained: âWe were very unhappy because we were not included in the disengagement agreements that were reached between Egypt and Israel. Jordan's exclusion was also received with fear and worry in Amman. It was taken as a first indicator that Jordan would gradually be excluded from a solution to the Palestine question. Exclusion meant a great deal to us at the time: above all, it meant that Jordan would become gradually irrelevant. Irrelevance to Jordan means that getting rid of the Hashemites
would become more possible. In other words, that the Palestinian question could be solved at Jordan's expense.'
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Sinai II had the unintended effect of improving the relations between Jordan and Syria. Asad shared Hussein's mistrust of Sadat, of Kissinger and of Kissinger's step-by-step diplomacy, which seemed to be directed at dividing the Arab world, avoiding the core issues of the ArabâIsraeli conflict and frustrating the search for a comprehensive settlement. The Syrians tried to compensate for Sadat's âdefection' by forming a banana-shaped front round Israel and by consolidating their influence in Lebanon.
After its expulsion from Jordan in 1970â71 the PLO began to build a state within a state in Lebanon. A civil war broke out in April 1975 between the leftistâPLO coalition on the one hand and the various Christian militias on the other. Syria and Israel were the main external actors in the Lebanese conflict, and there was a danger that they would be dragged in by their respective allies. Hussein played a part in arranging the tacit understanding between Asad and the Israelis. The king advised the Maronite Christians that if they wanted to survive in the Middle East, they should turn to Israel for protection. He also offered to serve as a messenger for Asad, who knew about his channels to the Israeli leaders. Asad wanted Israeli acquiescence in the presence of Syrian troops up to a certain point in Lebanon. One night in April 1976 Gideon Rafael, Israel's ambassador in London, was asked to meet Hussein urgently at the house of a mutual friend. The king was deeply concerned about the mounting tension in the Levant. It was in their mutual interest, he argued, to contain the present fighting in Lebanon. The message he conveyed from Asad to Rabin was that Syria's intervention in Lebanon was designed to protect the Christians and that there was no intention of harming Israel's interests there. Asad promised to keep his forces away from the Israeli border and asked the Israelis not to intervene. A few hours later Rafael was on his way to Israel. Rabin appreciated the message. A special meeting of the cabinet was convened: it was decided to accept the Syrian explanation and to refrain from direct intervention in Lebanon. Rafael flew back to London to convey the reassuring message to the king, who promptly dispatched it to Damascus.
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Thus the dialogue among the principals across the battle lines continued, but the emphasis shifted from the discussion of a political settlement to dealing with day-to-day problems. Among the subjects that came
up were the combating of terrorist activities by the radical Palestinian factions, ecology, water, aviation, shipping in the Gulf of Aqaba and border demarcation.
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There were minor complaints by the king about Israeli planes flying over his palace and Israeli boats booming around his house in Aqaba, and appropriate action followed. Crown Prince Hassan, who was in charge of the Jordanian development plan, had two long meetings with Allon. They discussed projects for building hydroelectric stations, for more effective management of water resources, for free passage between Eilat and Aqaba, and even for giving Jordan access to the Mediterranean through Gaza. Allon was most impressed by Hassan's expertise in economics and development. He also seized the opportunity to find out whether there was any basis to the rumours that Hassan was opposed to Jordan's return to the West Bank. Hassan burst out laughing and said that rumour had already reached his ears. The truth of the matter was that he did not wish to give up the West Bank not because he was in love with its inhabitants but because he did not want his political rivals to have it.
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Politically, the deadlock continued. The PLO was unable to represent the Palestinians in negotiations over the future of the West Bank because Israel and the United States refused to deal with it. As a result of the Rabat resolution the Palestinians were thus left in limbo. The advent of a Democratic administration in January 1976 under Jimmy Carter carried hopes of a change in the American position. Carter put the emphasis on human rights in foreign policy and came out publicly in support of a homeland for the Palestinians. He was thus the first US president to champion the right of the Palestinians to national self-determination, and he used the terms PLO and Palestinians interchangeably. Jordan and Israel feared that this formula might lead to the emergence of a Palestinian state as a wedge between them. So there were grounds for exploring again various views about territorial or functional compromises, such as Peres's scheme of a condominium over the West Bank and the Gaza Strip.
A meeting was arranged between Hussein and the triumvirate led by Rabin towards the end of March 1977. This time Hussein and Rifa'i were driven to the Mossad-operated guest-house just north of Tel Aviv. The talks, however, proved futile as neither side was ready to yield, especially on the question of Jerusalem.
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On the issues that really mattered, according to Hussein, âRabin was very rigid, very polite, very
cordial but rigid and impossible to alter.' During Rabin's second term as prime minister, in 1992â5, he recalled their last meeting to Hussein, saying, âYou were very stubborn.' Hussein replied, âYes, I was because I could not give an inch of Palestinian territory or an iota of Palestinian rights.' Hussein remembered that Rabin had said: âWell, there is nothing that can be done. Wait for ten years, maybe things will change on the ground.' Hussein had replied, âWell, too bad.'
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The year 1977 was the silver jubilee of Hussein's accession, but it was one of tragedy in his private life and of frustration in his political career. On 9 February 1977 Queen Alia, his third wife, died in an air accident. She had visited a hospital in Tafila in the south of Jordan when the royal helicopter in which she was travelling crashed in a rainstorm. The other casualties were the minister of health who accompanied her and Lieutenant-Colonel Bader Zaza, her husband's pilot and friend. Hussein was completely devastated by the death of his young wife, his grief deepened by a sense of guilt at having allowed Alia to travel to a remote part of the country in such atrocious weather conditions. Alia left behind three little children â Haya, Ali and Abir. Hussein was plunged into dark depression and for a while withdrew into a kind of monastic seclusion.
Hussein's performance of his public duties was not surprisingly affected by his private grief. His attention span shortened, his level of energy seriously declined, and he looked dour and distracted. The first foreign trip after the tragic event was to the United States. On 24 April, Hussein had a meeting in the White House with President Jimmy Carter and his advisers. They all liked him, enjoyed his visit and believed he would be a staunch ally in the conference on the Middle East they were planning to hold later in the year. Hussein said that for the first time in many years he was hopeful that they could reach some agreements. Late that night Carter, his wife Rosalynn and their royal guest sat on the Truman Balcony, watching the planes land and take off from Washington National Airport, and talked about both diplomatic affairs and personal matters. Hussein was still emotionally drained. When he told Rosalynn Carter how much he had appreciated the handwritten letter that the president had sent him, he began to weep, and their hearts went out to
him. Carter asked him if he would like to visit the Georgia coast for a few days of rest, and Hussein gratefully accepted the invitation.
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Jimmy Carter was the sixth American president that Hussein had worked with. Despite their promising start, relations between the two men were strained when it became evident that Jordan was assigned only a minor role in the Middle East plans of the Carter administration. Another source of strain on Jordanian-American relations was the rise to power in Israel, after the May 1977 elections, of a right-wing Likud government under the leadership of Menachem Begin. Rabin resigned on 7 April because of a minor foreign currency violation, and the Labour Party elected Peres to succeed him. But the Likud victory brought to an end three decades of Labour hegemony. It also brought about a major change in Israel's foreign policy. Labour is a pragmatic party preoccupied with security, whereas Likud is an ideological party dedicated to Greater Israel. According to Likud's nationalist ideology, Judea and Samaria, the biblical terms for the West Bank, are an integral part of
Eretz Israel,
the âLand of Israel'. The Likud categorically denied that Jordan had any claim to sovereignty over this area. Equally vehement was the Likud's denial that the Palestinians had a right to self-determination in this area.
Shlemut hamoledet,
the integrity of the homeland, was an article of faith in the Likud's political creed. This was clearly stated in the party's manifesto for the 1977 election: âThe right of the Jewish people to the Land of Israel is eternal, and is an integral part of its right to security and peace. Judea and Samaria shall therefore not be relinquished to foreign rule; between the sea and the Jordan, there will be Jewish sovereignty alone.' This programme abruptly brought to an end the special relationship that had developed over the previous seven decades between the Labour Zionist leaders and the Hashemite rulers of Jordan. Unlike Labour, the Likud was not committed to the survival of the monarchy in Amman.