Robert Marjolin, secretary-general of the OEEC, to reinvigorate the OEEC and to raise awareness within the member states and in the United States about the economic consequences of rearmament in Europe. In a long paper prepared in February 1951 entitled "Immediate Tasks of Economic Cooperation between the Members of the OEEC, the United States, and Canada," Marjolin clearly laid out the economic problems in Europe that rearmament had done much to exacerbate. Three closely related problems now faced western Europe: steep inflation, a shortage of raw materials, and regression of progress in trade liberalization. Marjolin saw inflation as perhaps the most menacing symptom of the uncoordinated lurch toward western rearmament. Since the outbreak of war in the summer of 1950, a worldwide scramble for raw materials had led to increases in prices of wool, cotton, mercury, tungsten, tin, paper, pulp, and leather goods by as much as 30 to 50 percent. Imports had thus become more expensive, and the terms of trade of European countries had begun to deteriorate rapidly. Moreover, inflation jeopardized social stability by increasing upward pressure on wages. Worse still, in Marjolin's analysis, this inflation would be further aggravated once the massive defense expenditures now appropriated by NATO governments were actually spent. A serious falloff in coal production in 1950 appeared to be increasing inflationary pressures. Coal production was the key to steel manufactures, and a steel shortage would certainly hinder the expansion of European production. Yet production, of both raw materials and consumer goods, was the best way to dampen inflation. Finally, any national effort to increase production and control inflation had to be done in coordination with the progressive reduction of tariff barriers the OEEC had begun in mid-1950 but that had not been fully realized. Marjolin's report showed that in its earliest stages, rearmament had already had very serious consequences for Europe's economic stability, and the picture would only worsen as national military programs went forward. 43
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Marjolin's efforts to promote an active role for the OEEC in the post-ERP period reflected his belief, shared widely in continental European governments, that to prosper, or simply to weather times of crisis, the nations of the region must be ever more closely integrated politically, economically, and militarily. Marjolin saw more than simply an economic imperative in working toward integration. He believed that unless European political evolution were encouraged, the public already swinging against the "militarization" of Europe by the United States would grow increasingly disillusioned and bitter, and vent its frustration at the polls against the moderate, pro-American governing coalitions
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