65
  Â
“The Berlin-born”:
Nuland,
How
We
Die: Reflections on Life's Final Chapter
, page 33.
66
  Â
I have dinner:
When I call my friend John O'Sullivan, a physical therapist, and describe my symptoms for him and tell him that Doug thinks the problem is muscular but that I've been worried it might be my heart, he says it doesn't sound like a muscular or rotator cuff problem, and advises me to see a cardiologist. (I call him after I arrive home from Yale-New Haven. “You were right,” I say, and tell him the story.)
70
  Â
This property of aspirin:
For the story of Dr. Craven and aspirin, see Weatherall, pages 103â104; and LeFanu, pages 311â312. For more recent views of aspirin's uses, see Weatherall, pages 103â104; LeFanu, pages 311â312; Michael S. Lauer, “Aspirin for Primary Prevention of Coronary Events,”
NEJM
346:19 (May 9, 2002), pages 1468â1474; and both “Aspirin: Superhero or Problem Pill?” and “How Aspirin Works Its Magic,” by Abigail Zuger,
New York Times
, April 18, 2000. See also an October 24, 2002, article in
NEJM
by Dennis T. Mangano and others, “Aspirin and Mortality from Coronary Bypass Surgery,” which concludes that “early use of aspirin after coronary bypass surgery is safe and is associated with a reduced risk of death and ischemic complications involving the heart, brain, kidneys, and gastrointestinal tract” (vol. 347, pages 1309â1317).
5.
Coronary Artery Bypass Graft Times Five
77
  Â
I think of:
Susan Sontag,
Illness as Metaphor
, page 31.
6. The Ponce de Leon Thing
86
  Â
“Indeed”:
Gerald Grob,
The Deadly Truth: A History of Disease in America
, page 1.
87
  Â
“Our lack of success”:
Weatherall, page 88.
87
  Â
“Our ability”:
Ibid., page 92.
90
  Â
“it was time”:
When Gerald Grob and Dan Fox, director of the Mil-bank Memorial Fund, tried to trace the origin of the surgeon general's statement, it turned out that he had never made it. “What probably happened was that he was misquoted,” Gerald Grob says, “and the misquote was passed down from author to author” [personal communication].
90
  Â
“developments in research”:
William B. Schwartz,
Life Without Disease: The Pursuit of Medical Utopia
, pages 149, 153.
90
  Â
“The virtual disappearance”:
Weatherall, page 18.
91
  Â
In 1900:
When considering the 1900 figures, note that in 1900 only eight states and the District of Columbia were regularly reporting causes of death; coverage would expand gradually, but complete national coverage would not occur until 1933. In addition, in the years prior to 1933 urban areas were overrepresented, and rural areas underrepresented. The differentials between white and nonwhite populations, thus, were somewhat overstated, though urban blacks probably had higher death rates than blacks from the rural South, the region where most blacks then lived. See “Trends in Infectious Disease Mortality in the United States During the 20th Century,” by Gregory L. Armstrong, Laura A. Conn, and Robert W. Pinner,
JAMA
281 (January 6, 1999), pages 61â66; and Grob, page 316, footnote 32.
I've taken statistics on mortality from the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) and the U.S. Census Bureau. See especially NCHS,
Health, United States, 2000, with Adolescent Health Chartbook
, Hyattsville, MD, 2000.
From 1911 through 1935:
Figures on mortality are from Grob, Chapter 9, “The Discovery of Chronic Illness,” pages 217â242.
91
  Â
“Of the fifteen leading causes”:
The statistics are taken from Grob (pages 200ff and 248) and John B. and Sonja M. McKinlay, “The Questionable Contribution of Medical Measures to the Decline of Mortality in the United States in the Twentieth Century,”
Milbank Memorial Fund Quarterly: Health and Society
55:3 (Summer 1977), pages 405â428.
92
  Â
“Unsurprisingly”:
Herrick's remark is quoted in Klaidman, page 19.
Although Herrick's theory:
See Klaidman, pages 15â19, for more about Marcus DeWood's confirmation of Herrick's theory.
93
  Â
In 1900:
See Grob, page 192.
94
  Â
94
The mortality rates:
The death rates for those under one year of age was 162.4 per thousand, while the comparable figure for the one-through-four-year-old group was 19.8 per thousand. (The death rate represents the percentage of deaths in any given year relative to total population; the mortality rate represents the percentage of a specific age group dying by a certain ageâfor example, infant mortality represents the number of live-born babies dying within the first year of life.) Grob, pages 192â193.
94
  Â
However, by 1940:
The infant mortality rate in 1940 was 47 per thousand. For this and the figures concerning the falling mortality rates of infants and toddlers, see Grob, pages 200â201.
94
  Â
Moreover, infectious disease:
For the decline of measles, whooping cough, and scarlet fever as causes of death, see Grob, page 205.
94
  Â
“nearly 85%”:
This and other statistics on infant and child mortality are from “Annual Summary of Vital Statistics: Trends in the Health of Americans During the 20th Century,” by Bernard Guyer, Mary Anne Freedman, Donna M. Strobino, and Edward J. Sondik, in
Pediatrics 2000
, vol. 106, pages 1307â1317.
For the poor record of the United States, see Garrett, page 550.
95
  Â
The belief:
“The military metaphor has historically had the most pervasive influence over both the practice and financing of medicine in the United States,” George J. Annas writes in
Some Choice: Law, Medicine, and the Market
, page 45. “Examples are legion,” he continues. “Medicine is a battle against death. Diseases attack the body, uniformed physicians intervene. We are almost constantly engaged in wars on various diseases, such as cancer and AIDS⦔
96
  Â
The U.S. remains:
See a
New York Times
interview with Dr. Sandra Adamson Fryhofer and Dr. Richard Dolinar, conducted by Gale Scott, August 21, 2001, “Facing Off: Prescription PitchesâAre Direct-to-Consumer Pharmaceutical Advertisements Confusing to Patients?”
96
  Â
In widely dispersed:
I quote from a Dan Reeves ad in the
New York Times
, December 19, 2000.
96
  Â
Columbia Presbyterian:
The Columbia/Cornell ad appeared in the
New York Times
on June 18, 2000. The America's Pharmaceutical Companies ad is from the
New Yorker
(June 5, 2000).
97
  Â
Phil is blunt:
Consider, with respect to direct-to-consumer advertising, a sixteen-page brochure promoting Bayer aspirinâ“Become a Heart-Strong Woman”âin which Bayer invites women to “Get Smart About Cardiovascular Disease.” (“Did You Knowâ¦,” the headline on the front page reads, “Heart Disease Is the Number 1 Killer of Women in the United States?”)
“Womenâtake charge of your health,” the brochure advises, and after listing the common symptoms of heart attacks and stroke (and advising:
“Consider Aspirin to Prevent a Stroke”), it asks women to assess their risk factors. To do this, women are given a Heart/Stroke Quiz (“Factors You Can Control”). There are eleven questions. A woman receives 3 points for every “a” answer (increases risk), 1 point for every “b” answer (lowers risk), and 2 points for every “c” answer (“don't know”). If a woman answers “b” for all eleven questionsâthat is, if a woman does not smoke, has a cholesterol level below 200, does not have high blood pressure, is not overweight, exercises often, is not frequently tense, angry, or irritable, follows the USA-recommended daily diet, does not have a family history of heart disease or stroke, is not African American, is not going through menopause or postmenopausal, and does not have diabetes, her score will be 11. “Now, add up your points,” the brochure says, and if your score is between 11
[sic]
and 17 points, the brochure announces, “you have
some
risk factors for heart attack and stroke” (italics added).
97
  Â
“I call it”:
For an excellent summary concerning the sham and scam of anti-aging remedies, see “No Truth to the Fountain of Youth,” by S. Jay Olshansky, Leonard Hayflick, and Bruce A. Carnes, in
Scientific American
(June 2002), pages 92â95, and the accompanying website:
www.sciam.com/explorations/2002/051302/aging/
. The article's lead headline reads: “Fifty-one scientists who study aging have issued a warning to the public: no anti-aging remedy on the market today has been proved effective. Here's why they are speaking up.” Not only do none of the remedies slow, stop, or reverse aging, but some, the scientists warn, “can be downright dangerous.”
97
  Â
“The belief that disease”:
The quotations regarding the unknown etiologies of many modern diseases are from Grob, pages 2â5.
97
  Â
Then, too:
“Certainly,” LeFanu writes concerning the genetic causes of disease, “the imagery of DNA as the âmaster molecule, the blueprint from which everything flows' is vivid enough, but genes by themselves can do nothing without interacting with other genes operating within the context of the whole cell within which they are located” (page 278). And based on a study of 44,788 “pairs of twins listed in the Swedish, Danish, and Finnish twin registries,” conducted “to assess the risks of cancer at 28 anatomical sites for the twins of persons with cancer,” the authors of a study in
NEJM
conclude,
“Inherited genetic factors make a minor contribution to susceptibility to most types of neoplasms
. This finding indicates that the environment has the principal role in causing sporadic cancer” (italics added). Paul Lichtenstein, Niels V. Holm, et al.,
NEJM:
343:2 (July 13,2000), pages 78â85.
For a comprehensive listing of single-gene diseases, of which there are over four thousand, see Victor A. McKusick,
Mendelian Inheritance in Man: A Catalog of Human Genes and Genetic Disorders
.
98
  Â
Writing in:
Daniel Callahan, “Death and the Research Imperative,”
NEJM
342:9 (March 2, 2000), pages 654â656.
98
  Â
“Since we are”:
William Haseltine, quoted by Nicholas Wade, “Apostle of Regenerative Medicine Foresees Longer Health and Life,”
New York Times
, December 18, 2001.
7.
Listen to the Patient
103
  Â
According to figures:
The figure on infant mortality is from 1996 and is in
Health, United States, 2000
, published by the NCHS, page 157.
106
  Â
Thus, in one recent:
Meir J. Stampfer et al., “Primary Prevention of Coronary Heart Disease in Women Through Diet and Lifestyle,”
NEJM
343:1 (July 6,2000), pages 16â22.
107
  Â
So dramatic:
The study about type 2 diabetes, “Prevention of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus by Changes in Lifestyle Among Subjects with Impaired Glucose Tolerance,” is from
NEJM
(May 3, 2001), pages 1343â1350, and is reported in the
New York Times
(“Diet and Exercise Are Found to Cut Diabetes by over Half,” by Kenneth Chang), August 9, 2001.
107
  Â
Most of us:
In 1935, for example, 6.5 million Americansâ5 percent of the populationâwere over age sixty-five; in 2001, 13 percent of the populationâmore than 35 million Americansâwere in this age group. These statistics are from Jane E. Brody, “Ways to Make Retirement Work for You,”
New York Times
, July 24, 2001, page 225.
The distinction between “life span” and “life expectancy” is from Steven Harrell's letter to the editors,
New York Review of Books
(December 16,1999).
108
  Â
Consider the following:
Grob, page 61. Malaria was also present in New England; though of lesser significance than in the Chesapeake area and southern colonies, it did not disappear from New England until the end of the eighteenth century (Grob, page 60). For information on mortality and disease in early American colonies, see Grob, especially Chapter 3, “Colonies of Sickness,” pages 48â69.
108
  Â
In the United States:
For the decline of infant mortality in the United States, decade by decade, see S. Jay Olshansky and A. Brian Ault, “The Fourth Stage of the Epidemiologic Transition: The Age of Delayed Degenerative Diseases,”
Milbank Quarterly
64:3 (1986), page 375.
There is little evidence of infectious disease being important at any age in hunter-gatherer societies. Instead, as Kim Hill explains, “trauma, accident, violence, parasites, etc. are much more common in hunter-gatherers (indeed, theoretical work in epidemiology would lead one to doubt whether small human residential groups could be effective reservoirs for most modern infectious diseases). Human hunter-gatherers
are like most other mammals. Mortality rates of the young are very high, but not from infectious diseases usually” [personal communication].
Approximately 55 percent of foraging hunter-gatherer (!Kung, Hadz, Agta, and Cuiva) children survive to age fifteen. About 65 percent of Ache and Kutchin children survive to fifteen. But “it is clear,” writes Renée Pennington, “that adults living under the worst conditions (such as the Agta) have a good chance of surviving the reproductive span.” Given the high proportion of survivors during the adult yearsâamong Ache living on reservations since 1970, 40 percent of those who live to twenty live to seventy; among !Kung Bushmen, those who live to fifteen probably live past seventyâit is apparent,” Pennington notes, “that most 15-year-olds have a better chance of surviving the next 35 years than they did getting through the first 15.” The quotation is from “Hunter-Gatherer Demography,” in
Hunter-Gatherers: An Interdisciplinary Perspective
, page 194.